Navy
W-L: (10- 2) PR = 78.7974Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H VMI 52- 7 906 H UAB AME ( 4- 8, 68.2) 38-24 913 A Tulsa AME ( 4- 8, 67.6) 42-23 927 H Rice AME ( 6- 7, 68.8) 21-13 1004 H Air Force MIDW ( 5- 8, 72.4) 34-31 1011 A Temple AME ( 5- 7, 71.4) 32-31 1025 H Fla Atlantic AME ( 4- 8, 70.2) 42-32 1101 A No Texas AME (12- 2, 82.8) 17-31 1108 A Notre Dame IND (10- 2, 94.1) 10-49 1115 H So Florida AME ( 9- 4, 84.7) 41-38 1127 A Memphis AME ( 8- 5, 77.7) 28-17 1213 N Army AME ( 7- 6, 78.4) 17-16
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 H UAB 38-24 14 16 0.00
913 A Tulsa 42-23 19 6 +++ 8.08
927 H Rice 21-13 8 15 --- -6.00
1004 H Air Force 34-31 3 12 --- -8.67
1011 A Temple 32-31 1 2 -1.16
1025 H Fla Atlantic 42-32 10 14 - -3.82
1101 A No Texas 17-31 -14 -9 -- -4.78
1108 A Notre Dame 10-49 -39 -21 0.00
1115 H So Florida 41-38 3 -1 + 3.66
1127 A Memphis 28-17 11 -4 +++ 15.16
1213 N Army 17-16 1 0 0.59
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 927 H Rice 21-13 8 15 --- -6.00 1004 H Air Force 34-31 3 12 --- -8.67 1101 A No Texas 17-31 -14 -9 -- -4.78 1025 H Fla Atlantic 42-32 10 14 - -3.82 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 913 A Tulsa 42-23 19 6 +++ 8.08 1127 A Memphis 28-17 11 -4 +++ 15.16 1115 H So Florida 41-38 3 -1 + 3.66 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H UAB ( 4- 8, 68.2) 38-24 -31.66 19.56 -5.26 1.16 33.14
3 A Tulsa ( 4- 8, 67.6) 42-23 -32.29 18.93 5.26 1.16 56.08
3 H Rice ( 6- 7, 68.8) 21-13 -31.09 20.13 -5.26 1.16 34.48
3 H Air Force ( 5- 8, 72.4) 34-31 -27.51 23.71 -5.26 1.16 42.77
3 A Temple ( 5- 7, 71.4) 32-31 -28.52 22.70 5.26 1.16 64.82
3 H Fla Atlantic ( 4- 8, 70.2) 42-32 -29.66 21.56 -5.26 1.16 37.79
3 A No Texas (12- 2, 82.8) 17-31 -17.14 34.07 5.26 1.16 -6.89
3 A Notre Dame (10- 2, 94.1) 10-49 -5.82 45.40 5.26 1.16 -0.32
3 H So Florida ( 9- 4, 84.7) 41-38 -15.18 36.04 -5.26 1.16 71.35
3 A Memphis ( 8- 5, 77.7) 28-17 -22.20 29.02 5.26 1.16 79.46
3 N Army ( 7- 6, 78.4) 17-16 -21.51 29.71 -0.00 1.16 68.87
------
481.54
|
winning pts = 488.7495 losing points = -7.2128
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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